Probabilistic prediction of discharge and sediment yield for extreme events. Part I: Blueprint methodology

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Published: Oct 13, 2016
Keywords:
Probability prediction, modeling, discharge, sediment, extreme events

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Gustavo Reinel Alonso Brito
Universidad Agraria de La Habana

Abstract

This paper intends to introduce a blueprint methodology for predicting discharges and sediment yield under extreme conditions using a process-based hydrologic system model. In a next paper, part II, a case study application of this methodology will be presented. The methodology is organized in: 1) model setup (calibration and validation for extremes), 2) extreme value analysis, 3) stochastic rainfall disaggregation and 4) probability predictions and interpretation of the KINEROS2 (recommended physically-based model) outputs. This methodology introduces a study of the random component under rainfall-runoff process and allows predicting capabilities of unseen extreme events.

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How to Cite
Alonso Brito, G. R. (2016). Probabilistic prediction of discharge and sediment yield for extreme events. Part I: Blueprint methodology. Revista Ciencias Técnicas Agropecuarias, 25(3), 31–42. Retrieved from https://revistas.unah.edu.cu/index.php/rcta/article/view/451
Issue
Vol. 25 No. 3 (2016): julio-agosto-septiembre
Section
Original Articles

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Author Biography

Gustavo Reinel Alonso Brito, Universidad Agraria de La Habana

M.Sc., Prof., Universidad Agraria de La Habana, Facultad de Ciencias Técnicas

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